CitiBike Demand, Risk, and Net Flow
Station- and trip-level analysis of demand, net flow, and collision-adjusted risk across New York's bike-share network.
- Problem
- What can CitiBike trip data and NYPD crash records, together, tell an operator and an insurer?
- Approach
- Three analyses on 2023–2025 trips: demand and usage patterns; a per-trip crash-risk measure by station and time (NYPD crashes over trip exposure, empirical-Bayes smoothed); and a net-flow imbalance classifier for rebalancing.
- Result
- An interpretable per-trip risk measure an insurer could use as a rating input, demand patterns showing seasonality and per-station stagnation, and stable net-flow patterns a classifier predicts to guide rebalancing.
Python · pandas · feature engineering · risk analysis · prediction
Each dot is a station; amber flags the highest exposure-adjusted per-trip risk.